Reviews of Non-fiction Books to Read — Superforecasting

Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner

Dan Gardner Health Lifestyle Philip E. Tetlock Psychology Social Superforecasting

Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner

 Forecasts and predictions are made on a wide range of topics, including the weather, the stock market, next year's budget, and who will win this weekend's football game, among many others. However, these are not the only topics about which we make predictions. As a result of our obsession with predicting, we get upset when events do not unfold in the manner in which we had anticipated them. So, can predictions be made that are more accurate than they are today? They have the ability. Within a few months, we'll be able to produce superforecasts that are trimmed and realigned with each new piece of information, and then evaluated and improved after the predicted event has occurred. In these notes, we'll look at the difficult but fascinating skill of producing the ultimate predictions, which is both hard and interesting.

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